Prediction of in-play tennis

Viney, M 2015, Prediction of in-play tennis, Doctor of Philosophy (PhD), Mathematical and Geospatial Sciences, RMIT University.

Document type: Thesis
Collection: Theses

Attached Files
Name Description MIMEType Size
Viney.pdf Thesis Click to show the corresponding preview/stream application/pdf;... 6.51MB
Title Prediction of in-play tennis
Author(s) Viney, M
Year 2015
Abstract Tennis is one of the most volatile sports, as the favourite to win the match can change within a couple of service games. The growth of technology over the past decade has also resulted in an exponential increase of in-play wagering. Thus, the aim of this thesis was to investigate the game of tennis whilst in-play in order to increase the accuracy of predictions by updating the probability of winning a point on serve using various approaches. Analysis was performed to determine whether incorporating in-play serving and winning statistics, court-side dominance and point importance provided an accurate representation of match progression. Analysis on the efficiency of the in-play wagering markets was also performed and a method to incorporate over-round into a Markov Chain model was establish.
Degree Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Institution RMIT University
School, Department or Centre Mathematical and Geospatial Sciences
Keyword(s) tennis
Markov chain model
Serving statistics
Version Filter Type
Access Statistics: 300 Abstract Views, 3708 File Downloads  -  Detailed Statistics
Created: Tue, 24 Nov 2015, 09:58:52 EST by Denise Paciocco
© 2014 RMIT Research Repository • Powered by Fez SoftwareContact us