Prediction of in-play tennis

Viney, M 2015, Prediction of in-play tennis, Doctor of Philosophy (PhD), Mathematical and Geospatial Sciences, RMIT University.


Document type: Thesis
Collection: Theses

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Title Prediction of in-play tennis
Author(s) Viney, M
Year 2015
Abstract Tennis is one of the most volatile sports, as the favourite to win the match can change within a couple of service games. The growth of technology over the past decade has also resulted in an exponential increase of in-play wagering. Thus, the aim of this thesis was to investigate the game of tennis whilst in-play in order to increase the accuracy of predictions by updating the probability of winning a point on serve using various approaches. Analysis was performed to determine whether incorporating in-play serving and winning statistics, court-side dominance and point importance provided an accurate representation of match progression. Analysis on the efficiency of the in-play wagering markets was also performed and a method to incorporate over-round into a Markov Chain model was establish.
Degree Doctor of Philosophy (PhD)
Institution RMIT University
School, Department or Centre Mathematical and Geospatial Sciences
Keyword(s) tennis
Markov chain model
Simulation
in-play
Serving statistics
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Created: Tue, 24 Nov 2015, 09:58:52 EST by Denise Paciocco
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