Deviations and mean reversion to purchasing power parity in the Asian currency crisis of 1997

Razzaghipour, A, Fleming, G and Heaney, R 2001, 'Deviations and mean reversion to purchasing power parity in the Asian currency crisis of 1997', Applied Economics, vol. 33, pp. 1093-1100.


Document type: Journal Article
Collection: Journal Articles

Title Deviations and mean reversion to purchasing power parity in the Asian currency crisis of 1997
Author(s) Razzaghipour, A
Fleming, G
Heaney, R
Year 2001
Journal name Applied Economics
Volume number 33
Start page 1093
End page 1100
Total pages 7
Publisher Routledge
Abstract This study analyses the process of mean reversion towards purchasing power parity (PPP) for a sample of Asian countries around the 1997 crisis. It is found that appreciation relative to PPP is evident prior to the 1997 crash period. Correction occurs from 1997 onwards, a period marked by extreme movements in exchange rates with both appreciation and depreciation relative to the PPP rate over relatively short periods. The key result of this paper is that although reversion towards PPP is apparent for mean, though not statistically significant, it is clear that there is a substantial, statistically significant change in variance from 1997 onwards. This result has implications both for economic modelling of crash periods and for appropriate choice of statistical tests.
Subject Finance
Keyword(s) purchasing power parity (PPP)
financial crisis
1997
economic modelling
statistical tests
DOI - identifier 10.1080/00036840010007155
Copyright notice © 2001 Taylor & Francis Ltd
ISSN 0003-6846
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